observed savings %: {'20m': 58.2, '1h': 44.2, '8.8h': 35.8, '1d': 33.7, '2d': 27.8, '6d': 25.4, '31d': 21.1} model RMSE b(7 d) b(30 d) params log, his k=1.84 c=1.25 1.73 24.5 21.3 k=1.84 c=1.25 log, re-fitted 1.64 25.2 22.0 k=1.818 c=1.214 power a*t^-d 1.91 24.6 20.4 a=82.45 d=0.1311 exponential a*e^(-t/s) 9.10 32.4 16.3 a=39.96 s=48334 min his Calculated column reproduced to within 0.1 point(s): ours [57.0, 46.8, 34.5, 30.4, 28.1, 24.9, 21.2] | his [57.0, 46.7, 34.5, 30.4, 28.1, 24.9, 21.2] (t=64 gives 46.77; he printed 46.7 — a hand calculation from log tables) 'forgotten' in Ebbinghaus's own column IV is 100 - Q: at 1 d 66.3, 6 d 74.6, 31 d 78.9 (never 90)